I love a bet or two and this is another new feature I will be rolling out on the blog, especially when the weekend is as busy as this one.
Jonathan Gonzalez v Billy Lyell
This is on the undercard of the Dulorme fight on ShoBox tonight and although I'm not confidently picking the upset, 9.0 for a Lyell upset win with Betfred does look rather tempting. Gonzalez (14-0, 13 KO's) is a big puncher and has impressed in recent TV bouts, stopping Rudy Cisneros in two and going the 10 round distance for the first time last time out. Being a Puerto Rican he's very dangerous, but he is untested and I'm not too sure how good his skills are. Money has come in for Lyell (24-10, 5 KO's), who has challenged for the IBF middleweight title in the past, gone the distance with Chavez Jr and last time out nearly pulled off an upset against unbeaten German Dominik Britsch (25-0). Clearly I wouldn't tell you to pile on to Lyell, but it's worth a quid or two.
Mike Dallas Jr v Miguel Gonzalez
Very intriguing light welterweight headliner on Friday Night Fight's tonight and it's a surprise to see Mike Dallas Jr (17-2-1, 7 KO's) favourite to beat the in form Miguel Gonzalez (20-2, 15 KO's). I say that as Dallas Jr comes into this bout on the back of two defeats, the first by 7th round knockout against Josesito Lopez and last time out a MD against Mauricio Herrera, both good operators. It's raised big doubts about him though and he's in with a real puncher here. Gonzalez hasn't lost since October 2009 and comes into this fight on the back of a stunning 2nd round KO of Humberto Toledo, who had been winning some fights of late. He's been getting some good experience of late and looks ready to step up now. Like Lyell there has been some money coming in for him and he's a best price 3.0 with Betfred to win.
Johnathon Banks v Nicolai Firtha
The chief support to Klitschko v Chisora and I'm not expecting a good fight to be honest. Really am not a big fan of Banks (27-1-1, 18 KO's) who has struggled in his last few fights and doesn't really seem to be going anywhere fast. Knocked out a Croatian kid last time out, but before that was taken the distance in boring fights with Julius Long and Saul Montana, that after a draw with then 19-7-3 Jason Gavern. Firtha (20-9-1, 8 KO's) was stopped in five by Tyson Fury last time out, which was slightly controversial, as he had the Manchester man in trouble before that. He went the distance with Povetkin in December 2010 and looks by the far the stronger heavyweight in this fight, with a three inch height advantage. Banks should win the fight on his own show, but he may have to go the distance, which is a best priced 3.0 with Paddy Power.
Brian Magee v Rudy Markussen
Real pick'em fight in Denmark on Saturday night, which is live on BoxNation and is for Magee's interim WBA super middleweight title. The Irishman (35-4-1, 24 KO's) is a very under-rated fighter and when he's lost it's been in world class company against Robin Reid, Vitali Tsypko (very close fight in Germany), Carl Froch, and most recently Lucian Bute. He bounced back from that Bute loss, where he was very brave, by going away to Costa Rica and outpointing home favourite Jaime Barboza. He knows how to win in Denmark, stopping Mads Larsen in seven to win the European title two years ago and on that night he was in brilliant form. Markussen (37-2, 24 KO's) is nicknamed "Hardhitter" and he is a real big puncher, who retired in October 2006 after a devastating 7th round KO loss to Sergey Tatevosyan, where he really struggled. Like Magee he's a former European champ, but since coming back in May 2010, he hasn't mixed at the same level as Magee has in that time. Both have had 40 fights, but I think Magee has a bit more about him, he knows how to win on the road and he can do so again here, he's best priced evens with Bet365.
Kid Galahad v Jason Booth
Live on Channel 5 at 10pm on Saturday night, Mick Hennessy is banking on a star being born in Kid Galahad (10-0, 4 KO's), but he faces a massive step up in class against former world title challenger Jason "2 Smooth" Booth (36-8, 15 KO's). Neither are renowned punchers, so this is very much expected to go the 12 round distance, which in my opinion heavily favours Booth. Galahad has looked much improved in his last fights, stopping Paul Fleming and James Ancliff, but compared to Booth they are nothing. The 21 year old is a typical Ingle fighter and skill wise he's very talented, but not many 10 fight guys are thrown in with someone like Booth. Yes "2 Smooth" has been stopped in his last two fights by Kiko Martinez and Scott Quigg, but they are streets ahead of Galahad in terms of experience. He did look very dejected at the end of QuiggBetVictor, which in my opinion is superb value.
I've already previewed Klitschko v Chisora on my blog and I've said I fancy Klitschko in the ninth or tenth round. There's not much value in backing Klitschko to win by stoppage, but he's 4.0 with Ladbrokes to win in rounds 9-12 if that takes you're fancy!
Paul Williams v Nobuhiro Ishida
Williams (40-2, 27 KO's) returns for the first time since that farcical decision he earned against Erislandy Lara in July, which has raised plenty of doubts about one of the most avoided fighters in Boxing. Always been in the 'who needs him' club, he has become much less feared since he was dumped in two by Martinez in November 2010. In the first fight, I think he did enough to win, although one judge scored it 119-110, which was shocking, but that loss seemed to really affect him v Lara. You just hope that he's come out the right side after that lucky win and this isnt a bad fight to come back into. Ishida (24-6-2, 9 KO's) is renowned for stunning James Kirkland in a round last April, where he was brought in as a guy who couldnt punch, but found an open Kirkland and dropped the 27-0 fighter three times. He's never been stopped and is a former WBA interim champion, however he does face a guy who throws a lot of punches here and I just get the feeling Williams, if and that is a big if, the Georgia man is on fire, he'll stop him late on. Williams to win by stoppage is a best priced 2.5 with Boylesports.
Tavoris Cloud v Gabriel Campillo
Cloud (23-0, 19 KO's) is a renowned puncher, ranked #4 in the world and makes the fourth defence of his IBF title here against Spain's former WBA champion Campillo (21-3, 8 KO's). For me the jury is still out on Cloud, he's a pretty good fighter to watch and was impressed with how he performed v Yusaf Mack last time out, wearing his opponent down and then getting the job done in the 8th. However it was a close fight, Mack just wasnt fit enough or good enough to keep moving, a better fighter could give him problems. I think Campillo is a better fighter, he's won away in Argentina against Hugo Garay and in Kazakhstan against Beibut Shumenov. He did lose the rematch with Shumenov, but like the first fight it was close. He's been rather quiet since then and drew with Karo Murat last time out, which puts him behind world level as Nathan Cleverly stopped him in 10. This kid hasn't been stopped since September 2007, and although Cloud is a really dangerous puncher, I think like his three fights before the Mack one, he'll have to go the distance. Cloud on points is a best price 3.0 with Boylesports.
The biggest fancy I have this weekend and a pretty good price has to be "2 Smooth" Booth to win. He is one of my all-time favourite British fighters, he's such a determined individual and that's why I don't think he's going to roll over and let Galahad win. He's proven over 12 rounds and has a style which always catches the eyes of the judges.
I'll be having an accumulator this weekend and using my account on Boylesports, I've gone for Eubank Jr, Johnathon Banks, Brian Magee, Jason Booth, Tavoris Cloud and Paul Williams to win, which pays £51.64 for a £5 stake.
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